Singapore-Malaysia
Relations under Abdullah
Bilateral issues may still be outstanding, but ties seem
to have normalised within 100 days of new KL regime. By
Seah Chiang Nee
Feb 9, 2004
Few
foreigners reacted better to Mr. Abdullah Ahmad Badawi becoming
Prime Minister than the people in Singapore.
They
had hoped it would ring an end - not to disagreements, which
are unlikely ever to completely disappear, but - of an era
of bitter quarrels that had preceded it.
When
the popular Abdullah took over, there was a 'feel-good'
mood among the four million people here, a lot of goodwill
for him and hope for better cooperation.
Well,
in his first 100 days, he has not been a disappointment
to them. He has been pushing all the right buttons.
To begin
with, all talk of "skinning" the cat (Singapore)
or option of war has stopped.
Pah
Lah is, of course, not an unknown figure to Singaporeans.
He is
coming across as an honest, low-key person who is more concerned
with diplomacy and proper procedures than his flamboyant,
tough-talking predecessor.
His
break with the controversial past - cancelling major deals
with chosen businessmen and grandiose projects - has endeared
him to the republic.
The
same applies to his appointments of a new reputable police
chief and an apolitical deputy finance minister - like his
promise to subject public projects to public tenders and
battle against corruption.
In general,
Pak Lah has come across well with his focused leadership.
After
23 years of a "visionary" Malaysia, Abdullah is
emphasising on tackling major everyday problems, like corruption,
education and police inefficiencies, which were deteriorating.
But
for most Singaporeans it is his diplomacy vis-à-vis
their country that matters most.
Ties
with their closest neighbour have always figured highly
in Singaporean minds.
That
has put Malaysia's prime minister only next in importance
to their own because it can decide largely how well - or
badly - they would live.
One
quick indication of improved sentiments can be gleaned from
Singapore's querulous chat-sites.
During
the height of conflict, many of these forums were abuzz
with criticism of Malaysia or its leaders, an obvious reflection
of their sentiment.
Today,
these vibes have virtually disappeared. At most times, they
are more cynical with events in Singapore.
Secondly,
Singaporeans are reported to have started buying more Malaysian
stocks since Abdullah's takeover because of two reasons
- his new reforms and the possibility of a stronger ringgit.
More
than five years ago, Malaysia sent investors fleeing with
its capital controls and the shutting down of trading of
Malaysian share in Singapore.
The
Business Times reported last week: "You would have
expected Singapore investors to have sworn off Malaysian
stocks after the Clob debacle... but surprise, surprise
- many are in fact getting back into the country."
Much
is due to an expected revalue of the ringgit's peg to the
US-dollar - or even its remove - which will give the undervalued
ringgit a boost.
The
weakening greenback is making the ringgit even more undervalued.
Unlike
his predecessor who refused to even consider removing the
peg, Abdullah said recently, "We are not dogmatic about
this, we are not saying the peg will be there forever."
Singaporeans
feel this will increase the value of Malaysian shares and
property.
The second reason is Abdullah's economic reforms. If properly
implemented, they are likely to bring back global fund managers
to Malaysian stocks.
One
investor who put in S$5,000 told Business Times: "I
feel that foreign investors would warm up to Malaysia as
(Abdullah) makes significant changes to the economic and
political landscape.
"His
emphasis on transparency and meritocracy will win the hearts
of foreign fund managers," she added.
Another
investor is Mr Victor Lian, 52, a managing had invested
more money in Malaysia since November (and again in December)
when the regime started. "I do business in Malaysia
and am confident that the country will move forward,"
he said.
But
most men-in-the-street have welcomed Abdullah's move towards
quiet dialogue to resolve bilateral conflicts instead of
confrontation or even arbitration (only as a last resort).
Then
came the Chinese New Year celebrations in Johor Baru and
Singapore between the two Prime Ministers and their cabinet
colleagues, a new chapter in bilateral ties. They added
to the improved aura.
But
above all is Malaysia's promise to resubmit a new water
package. In an apparent concession, Singapore said it would
not insist on a package deal to resolve all their disputes.
The feel-good mood is so strong that the government fears
a public over-expectation.
While
the officials are happy with the turn of affairs, some are
taking pain to explain that the improved sentiment, welcomed
as it is, does not necessarily mean "everything from
now on will now be honky-dory."
That
could bring about a massive public disappointment if things
fail to go as planned.
But
it does mean that the two countries have the best opportunity
to build a mutually beneficial future that is free of race
or any historical baggage.
The
immediate need is, of course, solving the pressing disputes.
But a broader long-term future goes beyond these issues.
From
Singapore's perspective, it seeks a relationship based on
sovereignty and equality, not having to be subservient to
a larger neighbour.
This
was the message Deputy Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong's
message to Indonesia during his recent Jakarta visit. The
"abang-adek" equation often used in Malaysia rankles
Singaporean feelings.
On the
Malaysian side, the emphasis is on a "special"
relationship in which conflicts are be settled through give-and-take,
rather than purely on legal contracts that is preferred
by Singaporeans.
Many
distant foreigners I have met are often at a loss when they
are apprised of the "frivolous" issues that divide
us - relative to the greater economic and security global
concerns.
This
happened during a recent forum I attended that included
influential participants from the US, Germany, Canada, Japan
and Bangladesh, and, of course Singapore and Malaysia.
When
the discussions went into the intricacies of our bilateral
disputes, an American professor - after patiently listening
for a long time - interjected, tongue-in-cheek, "I'm
not sure if I should say this.
"I
think your two countries - being the richest in Southeast
Asia - must be feeling so bored with life that you need
to look for excitement in your relationship," he said,
amidst laughter.
That's
how a much more troubled outside world may be looking at
us.
(This
article was contribution to the Sunday Star on Feb 8, 2004
to mark Mr. Abdullah Ahmad Badawi's 100 days as premier.)