Who
is Richer,
Indonesia or Singapore?
Ridiculous question? Not at all. It depends how you define
wealth? Cash or resources in the ground?
Jan 27, 2001
When
Indonesian leaders got mad at Singapore for not helping
in her hour of need, a question that flashed through my
mind was - Heck who is the richer guy?
In cold
cash, yes the answer is obvious. Singapore's reserves stand
at S$136.9 billion significantly understated (gold holding
calculated at low book price), virtually no debts.
The
city-state has invested more than US$100 billion all over
the world. Indonesia, on the other, hand is heavy in debt
and its currency is still sliding.
But
if one calculates a country's wealth as more than reserves
but its cash minus debt plus its entire land bank, natural
resources, agriculture, and so on, the picture changes drastically.
A money-in-the-ground
example is the recent agreement for Singapore to buy natural
gas from Indonesia worth US$8 billion.
Water
is next, unless President Abdurrahman Wahid takes himself
seriously by letting it go to waste rather than selling
to Singapore.
Recently,
there were criticisms about selling sand to Singapore. There
are other means where Jakarta can make a lot more money
from its land - if it wants to.
Actually
in 1995, the World Bank introduced precisely this new system
of measuring wealth and declared Australia the wealthiest
place in the world.
In layman's
terms, what the Bank did was count what was in the ground
as an asset and divide by the number of Australians.
That,
of course, would relegate resource-scarce Singapore way
down in the global assets ladder, probably below Indonesia
and Malaysia.
The
World Bank economists obviously felt that the use of reserves
as sole measurement of wealth is not accurate.
It unfairly
distorts against larger countries that are cash poor but
land and resource rich, economists believe.
For
example, Singapore is wealthier than, for example, the US
because it has a larger reserves, but nobody would remotely
suggest that it is richer than America.
It is
a land of abundance - livestock, minerals, agriculture.
Americans can virtually live off their land. It is not so
for Singaporeans.
Indonesia
has 13,900 islands. Think of their vast natural resources,
land bank and infrastructure. All it needs is to use a little
ingenuity to be able to turn them into profits.
Recently
Malaysian Prime Minister Dr Mahathir Mohamad suggested Japan
send its old folks to retire in his country.
I remember
(apparently so does he) that more than a decade ago Japan
had wanted to lease a part of northern Australia to set
up a community for Japan's retired population.
Is there
a reason why Indonesia cannot do it?
Surely
leasing (if not selling) off some offshore islands for a
fixed number of years to wealthier countries or individuals
is a possibility.
Of course
now in the New Economy, world economists will soon have
to contend with a country population's total knowledge -
or its ability to generate productive ideas - as assets,
too, as soon as they can agree how to qualify them.
When
that happens, Singapore's total asset will fall even further
vis-à-vis the US, Western Europe, Japan and Australia.
Fortunately,
reserves allow nations to invest in knowledge and software
- so there's hope for a catch up.
Seah Chiang Nee