Hong
Kong-vs-Singapore
Who is winning?
Under China's watch, Hong Kong stays ahead of Singapore
in several areas with new twist. By Seah Chiang Nee
Dec 12, 2004
Last Sunday, I walked along Hong Kong's Causeway Bay and
gained a new understanding of why Mr Lee Kuan Yew sometimes
wishes Singaporeans were more like the people of Hong Kong.
What
I saw was a carnival scene, a little organised chaos and
a picture of flourishing business created from adversity.
Several streets around Victoria Park were packed with maids
from Indonesia and the Philippines sitting around the pavements
enjoying their day off.
It was like a huge picnic of more than 1,000 people eating
lunch, chatting and listening to music. It is repeated every
Sunday.
By the roadsides, mini-buses displayed photographs of maids
seeking jobs. You could just walk up, interview one and
sign her up without any bureaucratic fuss.
In Singapore, I quickly told myself, such scenes would not
have been possible.
I'm
pretty sure that Singaporeans by the hundreds would have
complained to the authorities about the crowds and the noise;
businessmen would want them removed for blocking their shops.
And
in 10 minutes, the efficient Singapore police would have
moved in and cleared everything away.
Well,
that's what makes Hong Kong different. The former British
colony is less regulated and a lot livelier.
Slowly,
Singaporeans are learning that orderliness and tranquillity
do not always spell economic opportunities.
Instead
of getting the police to evict them, the Hong Kong shopkeepers
did better. Instead of whining, they turned adversity into
ringing cash registers and making money from the crowds.
"Kedai
makanan" dished out Indonesian takeaways. Others sold
Suara, a Jakarta newspaper, clothes and cosmetics, mobile
phone products, from ring-tones to IDD discounts and money
transfer services.
Several
provision shops sold Indonesian goods. A dozen Indonesian
girls were paid to distribute flyers at street corners.
But
it was not only the people who stood out. The authorities,
too, were tolerant in allowing small private entrepreneurs
to do their stuff.
Faced
with the same situation, the Singapore government would
probably be handling it in a regulatory way. Break the law
and you would get fined.
Hong
Kong's laissez-faire did not leave with the British; the
traditions of free private enterprise beat our city hands
down.
Top-down
Singapore, on the other hand, is just beginning to encourage
a greater creative spirit among its 4.25 million population.
In the
republic, many big businesses are controlled and run by
the government. In Hong Kong, the city owns next to nothing.
Singaporeans
generally aspire to get a degree and a high paying job,
while their counterparts in Hong Kong dream of going into
business and making a fortune.
Several
years ago during a media forum, a newspaper editor asked
for my assessment of the Hong Kong-Singapore rivalry.
The
question was: "Who will win?" It is older than
Singapore's independence; laissez-faire versus controlled
economy, creativity against hard work and discipline, etc.
I've
just returned from a six-day visit to Hong Kong's "conveyance
belt" lifestyle and thought I would compare how restructuring
Singapore is faring against it.
Its
seven million people are used to lining up even to pay bills,
finishing quickly and moving on. The queues are always long.
Densely populated Singapore is only slightly better; that's
why we call it a fishbowl.
The
frequent comparisons are understandable. Both cities were
once British trading posts without natural resources whose
wealth lies within their peoples.
The
contrasts, too, are just as great. One post-Sept 11 difference
is in security threat. I immediately felt it upon arrival.
I left
behind a Singapore, which was patrolled by special police
armed with sub-machineguns. In Hong Kong, policemen at Tsim
Sha Tsui helped lost tourists if they're not catching criminals.
Hong
Kong, under China's rule for seven years, is free of this
fear.
There's
no national service. China protects the city and underwrites
its defence, saving it billions in defence cost. Similarly
for its foreign service.
These
savings strengthen its competitiveness against Singapore
and every one else. But it is the people who make the main
difference. They are exceedingly more entrepreneurial and
creative.
Singaporeans,
on the other hand, are averse to business risks. They are
generally better in their studies, make better professionals
like engineers, scientists and mathematicians.
Every
year, some 35,000 to 40,000 highly literate youths emerge
from Singapore's education system with a one-track ambition
to land a high paying job.
The
island enjoys a powerful lead in the knowledge field and
in skilled services - miles ahead in research and biotechnology.
Hong
Kong, on the other hand, is 10 years ahead in the creative
fields, including movies, TV, music and fashion.
Both
cities want to be Asia's New York or London, but comparative
advantage swings towards Hong Kong because of its lighter
censorship and greater personal liberties.
Highly
regulated Singapore doesn't readily grant its citizens and
businessmen a freer hand than Hong Kong.
Without
a Government Investment Corporation (GIC) or a Temasek,
Hong Kong lacks an official role in foreign and domestic
investment, hence lacking the republic's external pair of
wings.
In this,
the future favours Singapore in the longer term as Hong
Kong's trading role continues to be eclipsed by Shanghai
and other Chinese cities.
Singapore
has also drawn ahead with its vast state reserves, which
allow it to survive better in any economic storm.
Both,
however, are efficient users of human resources, a trained,
generally honest civil service that helps attract investors.
But
as jobs get harder to create, Singapore wants to have more
of Hong Kong's qualities.
It's
well known that when a Singaporean loses his job, he will
start cursing the government; his Hong Kong peer would simply
brush it off as a fact of life.
And
as time goes on, this Chinese city, too, will likely hanker
for some of Singapore's organisation.
At a
hilly Kowloon park, I saw a notice board with a whole bunch
of 12 regulations one could see only in Singapore - no eating,
no noise, no climbing, no smoking, etc.
And
at the airport, security guards would measure and refuse
entry to any hand-held luggage that was even an inch larger
than what was allowed.
As to
"who will win?" I'm afraid it may take many more
years for an answer. One thing is certain - each is trying
to attain what the other is good at.
(Contributed
specially for The Sunday Star for Dec 12, 2004)