Lee
Hsien Loong interview
Singapore's Big Gamble
Will he be where he is today
without his father. With FP Editor Moisés Naím.
June 17, 2002
One
of the world's most globalised nations. Its most trade-intensive
economy. Its busiest port. Holder of the Guinness Book of
World Records title for the longest human dominoes. A "little
red dot." An "irritating pimple that refuses to
burst." "Disneyland with capital punishment."
Singapore has won more than its share of bouquets and brickbats.
Why has this 646-square-kilometer city-state of 4.1 million
people attracted such outsized attention?
Start with former Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew. After Singapore's
debut as an independent state in 1965, Lee force-marched
his "digits" -- his term for Singapore's citizens
-- through the hoops of economic and social progress.
Under Lee's leadership, an ever watchful state also regimented
almost
every aspect of Singaporean life and snuffed out sparks
of political dissent, making Singapore the poster child
for "soft" authoritarianism.
The rewards: a per capita gross domestic product (GDP) and
living standards with few rivals in Asia, let alone the
rest of the world, and a shimmering reputation for efficiency,
enterprise, and economic openness.
Today,
however, Lee Kuan Yew is semi-retired, and Singapore is
recovering from recession. And there is some question about
whether the methods of social and economic engineering that
made Singapore a pint-sized global powerhouse can carry
it further.
Can economic and technological innovation thrive in a culture
known more for producing faithful employees than freewheeling
entrepreneurs?
In the Information Age, can a nation maintain high levels
of political control without undermining its social and
economic potential?
Those questions underlie many of the challenges facing Deputy
Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong, Lee Kuan Yew's eldest son
and Singapore's likely next prime minister, who spoke with
FP Editor Moisés Naím in Singapore
earlier this year.
FOREIGN
POLICY: Given the global economic slowdown, terrorist
attacks, the bursting of the Internet bubble, and more protectionist
instincts, is the fast pace of globalisation in the 1990s
ever likely to repeat itself?
Lee
Hsien Loong: That naive euphoria will not return. The
sense that we're all going to become one, that all of the
boundaries are going to be lowered, that the water level
will equalise everywhere, and that societies will become,
basically, like the United States - I don't think that will
happen. But I think the
economic and technological pressures pushing toward greater
integration, more efficient markets, and more advanced products
that need greater and greater economies of scale-whether
it's banking services or a new generation of computer chips
-- will be there. For countries throughout Asia, if you
want to prosper, the way to do it is to plug in more rather
than to unplug.
FP:
What are the main deficiencies of the current world trading
system?
LHL:
I think overall the system works quite well. Some blemishes
have to be fixed, but they are not easy to fix. We need
some discipline to bind all countries to multilateral, impartial
rules. We're doing better than before, but no country completely
gives up its sovereignty. And specifically, the Americans
will hold on to their rights to operate unilaterally and
punish people unilaterally. Agriculture is a particular
problem.
FP:
Why?
LHL:
Wealthy countries protect their own farming sectors for
political reasons, closing off an avenue that would be a
great comparative advantage for countries that export sugar,
corn, or cattle. Australia and New Zealand are not the only
countries that are upset. Many developing countries see
agriculture as an area where they have an opportunity to
be competitive, and rich countries have drawn the rules
in a way to make that difficult. The textile industry is
another such area. It would be much more effective to dismantle
the textile restrictions of wealthy countries than to provide
foreign aid to developing countries. Also, very poor countries
have to feel that they are going to
benefit from negotiations. It is very difficult to have
a successful negotiation involving more than 100 countries
when India and Egypt, or previously some of the Latin American
countries, are unhappy. That is a problem.
FP:
What do you think about controls on international flows
of money? What would be good examples of capital controls
that make sense and are desirable and capital controls that
are counterproductive?
LHL:
[Laughs.] You will not make me popular with that question.
I think it has to be within context.
FP:
What about the Malaysian experience with capital controls?
LHL: To be fair, we and many observers did not think
the capital controls the Malaysians imposed in September
1998 would work. If the currency is overvalued, and you
try to prop it up this way, there are many ways to get around
any controls. As it turned out, the economy recovered, and
the Malaysian government believes that capital controls
had something to do with it. I think, at the very least,
you can say that the controls did no harm. And
probably one contributing factor is that after the government
imposed capital controls, the rest of the currencies stabilised
and strengthened. So the Malaysians were not left high and
dry, their exchange rate was not under pressure, and there
was no incentive to have a black market. If the yen and
the rupiah and the Singapore dollar -- which would have
had to flow more or less in
line with our trading partners -- had gone down, I think
it would have been more difficult for them, as Hong Kong
found when it was left without capital controls.
FP:
Do you anticipate a reemergence of obstacles to the free
flow of capital?
LHL:
Within developed countries, no. It's not possible. The Europeans,
the Americans, and the Japanese have trillions of dollars
sloshing back and forth, and their economies are robust
enough to manage it. But with smaller countries, there will
be varying degrees of restrictions. In Singapore, we have
no capital controls, but we did have something called a
non-internationalisation policy, which had the purpose of
making it difficult for a nonresident to borrow Singaporean
dollars for noneconomic purposes.
FP:
Define that.
LHL:
For example, if you wanted to borrow to speculate as opposed
to borrowing to invest in Singapore or to do business in
Singapore, there were restrictions. We've lifted nearly
all of them now.
FP:
Countries such as Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia yearn
to return to their high-growth past-the days of the "tiger"
economies. But in varying degrees, they are all reluctant
to take difficult measures to retool their economies. In
some quarters, this reluctance fuels further pessimism about
the future of East Asia. Is this pessimism justified?
LHL:
I think these countries need time to sort out their problems.
The South Koreans have probably made the most progress,
although not without pain. The other countries are each
doing it their own way and taking longer. Some of them,
particularly Indonesia, have political or security problems
that are
preoccupying their governments and that must be addressed
before they can sort out their economies.
FP:
Were you more optimistic about the region in the mid-1990s
than you are today?
LHL:
Yes.
FP:
And what changed that?
LHL:
Well, first, we ran into a disaster.
FP:
You mean the Asian financial crisis in 1997 and 1998?
LHL:
Yes. Some people say the disaster was waiting to happen.
I think the disaster was made worse by the way it was handled.
FP:
Handled by whom?
LHL:
By the governments and, to some extent, by the International
Monetary Fund and the World Bank at the beginning. The international
financial institutions consulted with us because nobody
quite understood the full consequences. Certainly, we did
not believe that Indonesia needed to go through such traumatic
years, which it has since 1997 and 1998. So the Asian crisis
is the first reason why I'm less optimistic. The second
is that you need a degree of confidence and a certain global
image of being a place with hope and with a future. The
fundamentals in Southeast Asia haven't changed so much,
but the image has changed completely. For executives, fund
managers, and people who are looking for a place to put
something-not just money, but a
project-the image has changed. And now people say, "Well,
there is no hope in this region," which I think is
as wrong as the earlier overly optimistic assessment of
Southeast Asia. That image problem is difficult to overcome.
FP:
Are you part of the camp that believes the recovery came
too quickly to the region and that it therefore allowed
some countries-notably South Korea and Thailand-to postpone
needed reforms?
LHL:
Well, the recovery took the pressure off them. But even
if you put more pressure, people will not necessarily be
convinced that they must do the rational thing. They may
become very angry, and it may become politically impossible
to fix the problem. Just look at Japan, where the economy
has been bumbling along for 10 years. I'm not a believer
in inflicting pain in order to solve problems. But once
in a while, pain will come, and if that helps to educate
people, so be it. That's what is happening to us now.
FP:
You have had a ringside view of Japan's astonishing
economic decline over the past decade. The generalised view
is that Japan simply lacks the political will to reform;
that politics, not economics, is the most important factor;
and that it will take nothing short of a major political
transformation, almost a
revolution, to change Japan's declining economic fortunes.
And some people say that Japan's experience is a parable
about the hazards of a one-party system. Do you agree, for
example, that if Japan had a more competitive party system,
that if the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) had less
of a grip over politics, Japan would have been able to push
through real reforms?
LHL:
I think that's too simple. The Japanese have had coalition
governments that had no greater success in changing the
system than LDP governments. The problem is that Japanese
politicians, whether LDP or otherwise, have become too closely
associated with vested interests. They depend on the farm
vote, on the construction industry, and on securing special
privileges so that
their constituencies will reelect them. The system of patronage
goes all the way down to every Diet member, including contributions
at the weddings and funerals of their constituents. And
that system has become entrenched in politics, and it cannot
be changed. Even if Japan had a different set of ministers
in charge, I don't think the system could change that easily
because
the civil service, which runs a lot of the policies, is
tremendously inert and has an ability to outlast and out-know
the ministers.
I also
think that for real change to occur, a major economic upheaval-not
just a political decision-has to happen. Companies have
to go bust, and banks have to go bust. New sources of enterprise
and vitality and profits are necessary. And that's not something
that will happen overnight. It is possible to do it on a
small scale, as the Americans did after the savings and
loan crisis, when they sold stuff at any price through the
Resolution Trust Corporation. Some people were wiped out.
But on an economy-wide basis, is that really possible?
FP:
Is China going to experience major upheaval and political
turmoil in the next five years?
LHL:
I'm not betting on it. As far as policies are concerned,
there is a consensus that reform and modernisation are the
way to go. The Chinese have committed to the World Trade
Organisation. A new generation of leaders, which they will
elect this year, will follow that path. And I think the
old generation will find some way to look over their shoulders.
They have quite serious problems with state-run enterprises,
with corruption, and with managing the process of change,
which is very fast. But I don't expect a complete collapse.
China is not like Russia.
FP:
Over the last half-century, the U.S. military presence
has been welcomed by many Asian governments, not least in
Singapore, as an important force for stability. Do you think
the United States is more or less welcome in the region
after September 11, 2001?
LHL:
I don't think the United States is less welcome. The balance
of power in Asia has been maintained because after the Second
World War and Vietnam, the Americans stayed in the region.
The 7th Fleet and the Pacific Command in Hawaii are really
the sheriff. They're part of the framework that has allowed
many Asian countries to grow and develop. These countries
know that if you want to solve the terrorist problem, you
need to work with the Americans here.
FP:
Before September 11, there was considerable grumbling
among America's friends and allies about the Bush administration's
plans to push ahead with national missile defense, to scrap
the antiballistic missile treaty, to abandon the Kyoto Protocol,
and to reject the International Criminal Court. Some critics
went so far as to suggest that the United States was the
world' s real "rogue state." Do you think the
Bush administration has this unilateralist stripe?
LHL:
I don't think it's helpful to criticise the Bush administration.
It came in with definite ideas of what it wanted to do on
a number of issues, and it set about to do those things.
But as the administration went ahead, it found that the
world is
not quite as amenable as it might have imagined-which every
administration does-and it has had to adjust. September
11 has hastened that process.
FP:
Let me ask you about one particular area of U.S. foreign
policy under the Bush administration, one source of discontinuity:
the Korean peninsula, where the current administration has
taken a much tougher stance toward talks with
the North Koreans than its predecessor. What's your view
on the preferred course of action?
LHL:The
new administration is entitled to a new view. But if you
have to change course, then you really should try to do
it in a way that doesn't hurt your allies. In this case,
I think the South Koreans felt that they had been left stranded
when the Americans suddenly changed course. And that's a
high price to pay, one that might have been avoided.
THE
SINGAPORE MODEL
FP:
The Chinese say that in terms of sequencing their political
and economic reforms, they look at Russia to decide what
not to do and at Singapore to decide what to do. They think
it was wrong for Russia to liberalise politics and economics
simultaneously with glasnost and perestroika. Instead, they
look at Singapore, with its very liberal economy and much
less liberal political system, and think that is the way
to go.
LHL:
They look at many models, and our circumstances are
not the same as theirs. We discuss the suitability of the
Singapore model with them from time to time, and they always
say, "Adapt it to Chinese national conditions."
Meaning what works in Singapore may or may not work in China.
That's quite understandable. I mean, we are 4.1 million
people, while they' re 1.3 billion.
FP:
What about Singapore will not work in China? Give us an
example.
LHL:
We can say to our citizens, "Stop littering or we fine
you $1,000." And over a few years, people stop littering.
In China, with a billion people, you can't do that. [Laughs.]
Nothing would happen. But China is finding ways to overcome
that city by city, and its cities have now improved considerably
from how they used to be.
FP:
What makes a Singaporean a Singaporean?
LHL:
[Laughs.] That is a challenging question. With the older
generation, cultural identity was stronger because many
would have been educated in either Chinese or one of the
other languages; would have grown up in a not-so-Westernised
environment; and to be quite candid, would have had no choice
but to live in Singapore. The younger generation's identity
is based on growing up here, having friends here, doing
national service here, eventually making a home here, and-we
hope-developing an attitude that it is part of an enterprise
that it is helping to build, that it has influenced, and
that is unique. Singapore may look like London or New York
or Munich, but it isn't. It's different. It's in a different
part of the world altogether.
FP:
Singapore is a multicultural society. For many people, the
ultimate indication of integration and cohesion is intermarriage
between different groups. Do you see intermarriage between
your cultural groups as a goal?
LHL:
Between Muslims and non-Muslims? No. I think that's
not realistic. The major faiths are all in Singapore-Islam,
Christianity, Hinduism, and Buddhism. None of these will
triumph over any of the others. There is a certain amount
of
intermarriage, particularly between the Chinese and the
Indians. And there is some intermarriage with the Malays
and the Muslims, too, but not in the sense of multireligious
families. So I think the distinction between the religions
will remain. But we have to manage it. We can't become homogenised.
We accept that we will always be not quite identical, but
we are all Singaporeans.
FP:
In economic terms, Singapore is almost a paragon of
globalisation. But in the same way that standards of economic
globalisation have been very good for Singapore, there are
now emerging standards of political globalisation that Singapore
has not embraced to the same degree-for example, democracy,
freedom of the press, and individual civil liberties.
LHL:
That's mostly liberal rhetoric. If you read the New York
Times or if you listen to Amnesty International or the American
Civil Liberties Union, they will say that these political
and economic standards have to go together for a particular
nation to be in good standing. According to them, to prosper
you need to follow certain standards, of which they are
the arbiters. And even if you don't prosper, that's the
right way to do it.
FP:
You don't agree?
LHL:
Some values command wide acceptance. If you are going to
be a banker, there's no such thing as Asian banking values,
because you are either a sound banker or not. But if you
are managing a society or living in a society, then different
societies have different norms, work in different ways,
and have different geopolitical circumstances. If you look
at Asia, the society that has followed the U.S. model most
closely would be the Philippines, because it has had half
a century of American tutelage and very close ties. But
the Philippine political system doesn't work like the U.S.
political system at all. Gen. Douglas
MacArthur tried to impose the model in Japan, and he had
almost a blank slate and even wrote a new constitution.
But Japan doesn't resemble the United States either.
FP:
What is the paramount U.S. norm that doesn't fit Singapore?
LHL:
It's really a question of balance between the individual
and society. And if you look at a political value, the role
of the press in the U.S. political system is something that
is unique. The media's role is not even the same in Europe.
FP:
Critics say that one weakness of Singapore's controlling
culture is that it encourages the emergence of great employees
but not entrepreneurs. Are you losing entrepreneurs? Are
they leaving?
LHL:
There is a flow of talent out as well as in. But our
problem with entrepreneurs is not that they have gone overseas.
Our problem is that our environment has not encouraged people
to become entrepreneurs. They have found other successful
careers by working for multinational corporations and working
in our government-some people would say we have more than
our fair share of talent to run the government and to run
the system. And so we don't have the social preconditions
or the flow of talent to have a continuous surge of people
trying new things, as Taiwan or Hong Kong have, for example.
It's a problem. We can change the incentives and the social
expectations and norms, but then finally the person has
to want to go and do it.
FP:
In a June 2000 report, the U.S. Embassy in Singapore stressed
that government-linked corporations and state control of
Singapore's mass media may pose a significant barrier to
government efforts to restructure the economy.
LHL:
[Laughs.] The embassy's figures are wrong. The report
put government-linked corporations down as two thirds of
the economy, when in fact they are about 15 percent, perhaps
not even that high. We own certain significant industries
and companies-SingTel, the Development Bank of Singapore,
Singapore International Airlines, the power industry, the
port, the shipyards-because of historical circumstances.
We built them into world-class companies. Now, as we look
forward, the question is, which should we hold and which
no longer make sense? We're looking for opportunities to
sell those enterprises that no longer make sense for us
to keep.
FP:
So you wouldn't mind seeing SingTel being owned by a foreign
company?
LHL:
I would not rule it out. It depends on the way the industry
is going. And if it turns out that SingTel has to be more
than a Singaporean company, which is the way the industry
has been going, we may have no choice. We'd like to have
influence, yes. We'd like SingTel to have a major operation
in Singapore. We'd
like Singapore to be a hub. We'd like it to be able to grow
as a Singaporean company. But can we do all that? I'm not
sure that we can do it in every case.
FP:
What about the U.S. embassy's comment that government control
of Singapore's mass media may make it harder to restructure
the economy?
LHL:
No, I don't think so. Newspapers and TV stations aren't
a big chunk of the GDP. Newspapers earn less than $1 billion
per year, that's 1 percent of the GDP. The TV network earns
$50 million a year, which is nothing. So it's not an economic
issue. The question is whether we will open up and have
a mass-media industry like in the Philippines or in the
United States. That's unlikely to happen. I think there
will be competition. Other players will come in. We believe
it's good to have the TV network and the newspapers take
the Singaporean point of view. It's not just the economics
of the media business.
FP:
Many people would say that what you call a Singaporean
point of view is your government's point of view.
LHL:
Well, there are a lot of American analysts of the region
who find it worth their while to visit the Straits Times
Web site to find out what's happening. And there are a lot
of Singaporeans who, if they didn't believe the Straits
Times, could go onto the Web and read the New York Times
or the International Herald Tribune. They can get it on
broadband. I do that every morning, after reading the Straits
Times.
FP:
Looking at the media in Singapore, Australian political
scientist Garry Rodan wrote in 2000 that, "Government
strategies for constraining critical reporting have resulted
in the widespread adoption of self-censorship within all
forms of the international media. Ironically, instead of
markets softening the
resolve of authoritarian leaders to obstruct the media,
they have softened the resolve of international media organisations
to report freely. The threat of restricted access to Singapore's
prized media markets in retaliation for critical reporting
has been a powerful discipline in producing this result."
LHL:
What dark secrets about Singapore have been hidden by this-
FP:
Well, if it is true that you are hiding something, we wouldn't
know, right?
LHL:
[Laughing.] With hundreds of magazines and thousands
of journalists and people traveling-half of Singaporeans
travel overseas every year-we are hiding secrets, and we
have succeeded in intimidating all of the media? What we
have been able to do is get the media to report responsibly.
If journalists report untruths or if they defame someone,
then those journalists have to answer for their actions
in court. I think that's entirely reasonable.
FP:
According to Singapore's Newsapaper and Printing Presses
Act, the minister for communication and information can
limit the local circulation of international newspapers
deemed to be "engaging in the domestic politics of
Singapore." What kind of questions would I have to
ask to provoke the censorship of FOREIGN POLICY magazine
in Singapore?
LHL:
You can ask any question, and you will fail to provoke
any such response. Such a response is necessary when you
make a contentious, slanted report and deny us the right
of reply. That's all we ask. You make your point, let us
make our point, and then let your readers decide. If you've
made your point and you say, "No, I won't let you reply,"
then I must conclude that you are trying to convey a slanted
point of view. I think that 's very reasonable. We don't
prevent people from expressing whatever they want. In fact,
when we restrict the circulation of a magazine, we also
make it possible for people to photocopy and distribute
the magazine minus advertisements, so that there is full
freedom of information, but you will not profit from it.
FP:
Let's discuss the political implications. In the midst of
a severe economic crisis in 2001, your party secured 75
percent of the popular vote in the last general election.
Some people believe that the outcome of any election in
Singapore is predictable.
LHL:
[Laughs.]
FP:
That is, the People's Action Party (PAP) will emerge
a winner
because the ruling party provides very little political
space to
opposition parties.
LHL:
It's not so simple. The vote is completely open. If people
didn't want to support us, they have other choices. And
Singapore is a very small state. If you antagonize the population,
it's not just a local loss. The loss is across the board.
And in this case, we received 75 percent of the vote, which
is more than we did last time. Last time we received about
60 percent. I think these numbers show that people in a
crisis had confidence in the party. They were not going
to fool around. They wanted a government that would help
them solve their problems.
FP:
There were several restrictions placed on the political
use of the Internet during last year's parliamentary elections.
LHL:
These are just basic safeguards. You can express whatever
view you wish. But the Internet is a new medium, and it's
a medium where it is not so easy to hold people responsible
for what they have said. And if you said something that
is untrue or inflammatory, the damage has already been done
before any counteraction could be taken. So some rules are
necessary. It is
not for lack of Internet space that we don't have effective
opposition parties in Singapore. It is because we have brought
in to the PAP almost all of the able people who might otherwise
have decided to join the opposition.
FP:
Do you agree that you have an international image problem?
That the view you just expressed-and that you firmly believe-is
not shared by others who observe the world and say, "Singapore
is great, and it's a great economic place and great place
to do business. But they really rule it in a way that is
quite authoritarian"?
LHL:
There is a certain liberal establishment that wishes that
we were different, because we are a counterexample to what
they would like the world to be. But we are not trying to
be difficult. We are just trying to live the way that resolves
our problems and gives us a path forward.
FP:
But even your detractors acknowledge your success. Why,
then, is the ruling party so insecure about its position?
Wouldn't Singapore's polity be strengthened if you encouraged
active debate, truly liberalised the local media, and tolerated
the development of a strong opposition?
LHL:
You say, why not have free and liberal media? I ask
you, where have these things led to greater stability and
economic growth in Asia? If you read the liberal media,
they say, how about the Philippines? I think -- [laughs]
-- that's what you call Asia? And they say, "How about
South Korea and Taiwan?" But South Korea and Taiwan
are in a different situation, and I'm not sure that their
own people are completely satisfied with the way it's going.
Just look at a recent transcending preoccupation of the
Taiwanese media: the sex scandal of this former legislative
counsellor or something, with her picture taken through
a pinhole camera. And that's what all media are talking
about, nothing else. Is that the way we want to be? We don't
think so. And I think Singaporeans don't think so.
FP:
What about the issue of transparency, the lack of which
helped to trigger and deepen the Asian financial crisis,
not to mention the recent Enron debacle in the United States?
LHL:
We have the most transparent system around.
FP:
But your government seems reluctant to open the books on
the Government Investment Corporation, even though it is
investing billions of dollars of Singaporean taxpayers'
money around the world. Reporting on government holding
companies like Temasek is also limited and lacking in detail.
Government ministers are not required to publicly record
their financial interests in investments but only to submit
confidential statements to the
prime minister. Don't those policies cut against the grain
of your public commitment to the principle of transparency?
When you're investing in a bank, wouldn't you like to know
the behaviour, financial holdings, and conflicts of interest
of the managers of that bank?
LHL:
Why should we make it easy for someone to have a go at the
Singaporean dollar by making available exactly how much
"ammunition" is stacked up on the other side?
We have reserves; they are well monitored. We have safeguards
and checks and balances within the system that ensure the
reserve hasn't disappeared or been mismanaged, but the level
of reserves is not one of the things that we publish. Not
everything that takes place in government is reported, not
in any government. As for the disclosure of assets, I'm
not sure that countries that disclose the assets of their
political leaders have a better reputation for integrity
and probity than we maintain. Corruption
hasn't disappeared in any number of countries with the freest
media in the world. We have licked it, not completely, just
as every nation has not licked it. First, we pay our officials
properly, so they have no incentive to be on the take. And
second, if you are on the take, the system will catch you.
And we have the political will to punish you, whoever you
may be-whether you're a civil servant, a police officer,
or a government minister. So I don't think anybody seriously
suggests that because we don't publish the ministers' assets,
the ministers in
Singapore lack integrity.
FP:
Why would it hurt?
LHL:
It's a real problem. No one wants the whole world to know
what his private balance sheet is. You will deter very many
able people from coming in.
THE
TIES THAT BIND
FP:
Will you be the next prime minister of Singapore?
LHL:
That's not for me to decide. The members of parliament must
decide whom they have confidence in and the electorate must
see whom they support.
FP:
Would you like to be prime minister?
LHL:
If we are able to do it, I think it's our responsibility.
FP:
People who work in family businesses often say, "I
have the
choice of doing something else, of course. Nobody forced
me into
the family business."
LHL:
This is not a family business.
FP:
Yes, but I am using family business as a metaphor. The point
is that many chief executive officers of family firms were
trained from an early age by formidable fathers whom they
admired to assume their position. And then reflecting back,
they said, "Nobody forced me. I could have become something
else. But the circumstances were such that in retrospect,
I really did not have
any other alternative."
LHL:
[Laughs.] In a general sense, you are right. If I were not
the senior minister's son, I could have gone and done many
other things outside of Singapore. But because of my family
background, if I had gone off and become a mathematician
at Cambridge or Harvard or something, I would have felt
as if I were letting down my family. Singapore is a country
that has nurtured me, given me opportunities, and then I
just desert it? Maybe if people do well
they add luster from afar, but they've really opted out.
FP:
Do you feel you could have gotten this far in government
without being your father's son?
LHL:
I think at the beginning, the recognition helps, because
people know you and there's an association. Within a few
months, if you don't establish yourself as your own person,
then your background becomes a minus. And then each time
you move up, they will say, "Oh, he's being promoted
because he's somebody's son."
FP:
But that reflects a very Singaporean perspective. Do
you worry, for example, when people say that President Bashir
al-Assad of Syria only became president because his father
had the post before him or that U.S. President George W.
Bush would have never become president were it not for the
fact that his father was president? And that you would never
have become what you are likely to become -- prime minister
of Singapore -- without your father holding that office
before you?
LHL:
No. I think, on the contrary, if my father were not a senior
minister, it would be much easier.
FP:
[Laughs.]
LHL:
No. I believe so because they will say, "Ah, well,
he looks like the old man, but he's not the old man."
Whereas if you don't have those connections, you come in
on your own merits. Nobody will say that you look like or
don't look like your father or that you are temperamentally
like or unlike your father. I've
been in politics for 17 years. I've had how many elections?
Four? Five elections-1984, 1988, 1991, 1997, and last year.
If people thought I am here because of my father and not
because of me, I would not have been elected all those times.
The voters make an assessment: Are you your own man? Are
you going to be able to look after the country? Members
of parliament and the ministers need to know whether you
are going to be an asset to the team or
whether you will cause them to lose votes. If I am not here
meritoriously, it's not just going to hurt me, it's going
to hurt the whole PAP and government. And you can't govern
Singapore successfully without the support of the members
of parliament and the population. What really matters is
whether people have a
choice, and whether they are able to express their views
in the polls. Do they have a secret ballot and do they have
a choice, not just where they vote but also where they live?
If so, then you'll know whether it is a true outcome or
whether it's a forced state of affairs.
FP:
So are you saying that if people don't like it here, they
should just leave the country?
LHL:
No, I'm saying, just look and see: Are people leaving the
country, or are people queuing up to come in? If you look
at our immigration statistics, lots of people are eager
to move here. We have 20,000 to 30,000 permanent residents
a year-new ones. We only have 45,000 babies born a year.
So in the final analysis, is Singapore a place where people
are happy to live? That's the case today. And if you want
to make sure that you don't stagnate or end up in a cul-de-sac
with no path forward, then you have to make sure you remain
relevant and bring in new people who are able to command
the respect of a new generation. And that's what we have
been trying to do. In the last election, one of the reasons
we did so well was because we were able to get 25-odd new
candidates who impressed Singaporeans that they were not
our boys. So it's a democratic system. You are in power,
but you have no tenure. And there is no guarantee that in
ten years' time, or even in five years' time, the picture
will be the same.
Foreign Policy magazine