Trend
Decline of the engineer
Fears of Singapore heading towards becoming a high cost,
low-tech city are not unfounded. By Seah Chiang Nee.
Jun 14, 2008
AFTER
more than 10 years of building schools, a young friend,
who is a civil engineer, has put away his hard hat to become
a teacher in a secondary school.
It was
a big career switch for him and a loss to the profession.
He had graduated from Purdue University, one of the top
engineering schools in America.
Another
friend, an electronics engineer, distanced himself from
his computers and became a professional photographer.
These
are two cases that I am personally aware of in the decline
of a profession that was once considered the cornerstone
of Singapore’s development.
Many
engineers have moved into the more profitable financial
sector or sales and service jobs that are in greater demand.
It’s
happening in the legal profession, too. The number of lawyers
in Singapore has been in gradual but steady decline in the
last few years.
“The
attrition rate of lawyers is high, and the supply is not
sufficient given the rising demand here,” said a recent
report.
This
professional decline is propelled by globalisation and the
state’s move into a service economy. It is beginning
to worry parents who sacrifice much to send their children
for higher education.
Some
engineers, I am told, are planning to get on the casino
bandwagon. Two mega gambling resorts are due to begin operation
here in 2010.
With
more than a million foreigners working here in low-level
work, this decline is leading Singaporeans to wonder whether
the city is losing sight of its high-tech strategy.
Retired
civil servant Ngiam Tong Dow, for one, is worried that the
country may be heading towards a high cost, low-tech economy
like London and losing its competitiveness.
Britain’s
economic decline set in because ‘their best and brightest
from Oxbridge, instead of going into engineering and running
factories, went into the (financial) City of London’,
he said.
“City
of London ... they are not creators of wealth, they are
just shuffling assets around the place,” Ngiam said.
This
had allowed the United States to overtake Britain because
“while some of their best went to Wall Street, their
best still go into engineering,” he added.
If Singapore
were to follow suit “I think we are done for”,
said the bureaucrat, who helped to pioneer Singapore’s
economic development
Recalling
the 1970s, Ngiam said: “I used to tell everybody,
what I want is 1,000 engineers, 5,000 technicians from the
polytechnics, and 10,000 Institute of Technical Education
workers. ‘You give me that, I grant you a job’.”
That
has worked only too well. At the peak 40% of the university
graduates were engineers.
Local
institutions were meeting domestic demand with “a
steady pipeline of 30,000 engineering and technical manpower
each year”, a minister said.
And
according to the Ministry of Manpower, the engineering-related
sector still provided the largest number of job vacancies
over the past two years.
In 2006,
a third of the 3,639 top ten professional job vacancies
were in engineering, it said.
And
of the top 50 chief executives in Singapore, a third were
engineers by training. An official said there are more than
50,000 practising engineers in Singapore, 50% of whom are
women.
It is
not known how much of these rosy statistics were made up
of foreigners.
And
as casino gambling and tourism catches hold, the profession’s
future has become cloudier. Singaporeans will likely gravitate
towards better paying jobs, irrespective of their training.
Interest
in engineering courses has already been dropping.
Five
years ago, 30% of the 16,000 polytechnic applicants chose
engineering as their first-choice course. Last year, only
about 15% of 18,000 students did so.
Foreigners
are, however, making up for the drop. One economist said:
“We may be facing a future where many of the developers
of technology and their managers will be foreigners.”
Singapore
is in transformation and there are few sacred cows that
cannot be slaughtered.
This
means Ngiam has a good reason to worry about the future
of the engineer.
In his
first major speech, new Education Minister Ng Eng Hen said:
“More education does not necessarily mean more growth,
as most politicians and economists unthinkingly suppose.”
At a
time when Singapore is planning a fourth university, Ng
countered the argument that having more universities stimulates
economic growth,
Tertiary
institutions, he said, should maintain a “focus on
quality”, rather than “expanding education thoughtlessly”.
Some
economists fear the government may be tempted by quick GDP
growth at the expense of building on its high-tech strategy
when it imports such a large number of cheap migrants.
Years
ago, under different circumstances, Singapore had vowed
not to allow itself to be addicted – like the Europeans
– to cheap foreign labour.
After
years of strong economic – and population –
expansion the country is where Europe is, having an army
of low-skilled workers from abroad.
Nearly
a million foreigners came, not to mention another 700,000
permanent residents.
They
wait on tables, build our homes, clean our streets and perform
numerous tasks that keep the country going.
The
biggest change, however, is in government strategy, in the
view of some commentators.
Whatever
professional skill was needed in the past, the emphasis
used to be to train Singaporeans.
Today,
this need has all but gone. Instead to save time and money,
the government is turning to the world to tap its readily
available supply of professionals.
One
side effect isn’t pretty. While foreigners arrive
in large numbers, more of Singapore’s homebred talents
are leaving to settle abroad.
(This
was first published in The Star on June 14, 2008)