Economy
High competitiveness
Unlike Nordic countries, Singapore's competitiveness based
on low wages/welfare, not innovation. Blogger 'No Concept
of Liberty'
Location: Oxford, UK.
Oct 23, 2005
Although
I am usually wary of such things, the 2005-2006 country
rankings of economic competitiveness by the World Economic
forum is instructive. Nordic countries like Finland and
Sweden place highly, with Finland in first place, Sweden
third and Denmark fourth.
The
Economist's Charlemagne column recently compared what it
identified as a Nordic social model with the continental
(essentially Franco-German) model.
It pointed
out while countries like Denmark and Sweden spend a lot
on reducing poverty and have among the most generous unemployment
benefits in Europe (and, let's face it, the world), they
remain competitive by having much more flexible labour laws
than France and Germany.
This
might also explain why French unemployment is now above
10% while the unemployment rate in Denmark is 6.4% and in
Sweden about 5.9%.
The
much more interesting thing is that Singapore ranks at number
six, just below Taiwan.
So yes,
Singapore is competitive, but its competitiveness is not
the product, as we are incessantly told by our Dear Leader(s),
of artificially depressed wage costs or our effective lack
of any social security or unemployment benefit (except for
maybe CPF).
If that
were the case, we would be far more competitive than Sweden.
It would also mean that a place like Hong Kong should be
topping the competitiveness charts, which it isn't.
Of course
this is all deeply unfashionable these days, but I actually
do think we need more government spending on things like
public health and unemployment benefit.
The
current level of medical coverage, especially for serious
and chronic illnesses, is pathetic and I think morally deficient.
And
if you fear that any rise in welfare provision will bring
about the 'erosion of competitiveness' that the government
has been warning about for the last three decades, well,
just take a look at the World Economic Forum report.
Posted
by the truth is rarely pure and never simple
Comments:
Oikono
I believe that in a way, the Singapore government is correct
to say that we owe our competitiveness to depressed wages
and lack of social security and taxes.
I believe that the crux of the issue lies in the nature
of our competitive advantage. Whereas the Nordic countries
rely on innovation to generate economic growth, Singapore
relies on selling itself as a sweat shop for slightly higher
value-added activities
Agagooga
When the cheaper engineers from India and China come a-calling,
we're doomed.
You can't make a populace innovative without making them
restless, but then mindless sweatshop drudgery is going
the way of the dinosaur.
How then to preserve the mandate of heaven?
Koh
The reason why we need to depress wages and have such questionable
social security than the Nordic countries so as to remain
at least in sixth place, is because our society is both
morally and intellectually too sterile and parochial to
be able to create.
the
truth is rarely pure and never simple
"When the cheaper engineers from India and China come
a-calling, we're doomed."
They already exist. Half of the engineering freshers in
my college are from China.
"I believe that the crux of the issue lies in the nature
of our competitive advantage. Whereas the Nordic countries
rely on innovation to generate economic growth, Singapore
relies on selling itself as a sweat shop for slightly higher
value-added activities."
Yes
I agree that this is our 'competitive advantage' so to speak,
though to call it an advantage is really to mock the meaning
of the word. But I think we shouldn't have too many problems
in shifting our comparative advantage to knowledge industries.
It doesn't
really require political liberalisation in my opinion, though.
The biggest knowledge-based industries are things like investment
banking, corporate law and management consultancy. I can
think of many many people working in these industries who
couldn't give a f-ck about representative government or
civil liberties.
So really
there is no good reason, cynical and power-hungry or otherwise,
for the current groupthink surrounding our economic policy.
And in deed, depressed wages are not that linked to shit
unemployment and other social welfare benefits. The latter
is largely a function of a) tax, b) government willingness
to take on debt and c) structure of govt spending.
the truth is rarely pure and never simple
Oh wait, hoho, this shows my lack of economic training.
Of course a) tax will have an effect on costs and therefore
our low-cost competitive advantage (or is that comparative
advantage...) but I think that at present most of our tax
base is corporate tax. We can shift the tax burden to higher
income taxation. I think the evidence has shown that, unless
tax rates are astronomically high (as they are on the super-rich
in France, for example) it has a negligible impact on incentives
to work, and is also unlikely to trigger tax emigration.
Agagooga
Actually high taxes affect incentives to hire people to
manage your tax and jiggle the balance sheets.
You forget innovation - that's why Finland is top, at least
according to the executive summary of the damn 65 pound
thing.
the truth is rarely pure and never simple
I'm wondering, what is this 'innovation' that management
types are always banging on about. I mean, what is it exactly?
Btw if it available online I can probably access it through
the Oxford network. Give me the url and I'll try to send
it to you. Is it pdf?
chrischoo
Until Singapore can prove itself by offering more talent
for knowledge-based industries, I expect that wages will
continue to be depressed. The question about social security
is a very fundamental one that needs much more analysis.
I don't agree that the government should be willing to "take
up debt" or provide a large safety net for the unemployed,
simply because this will discourage people from taking low
paying jobs and will incur a cost to society. I think there
should be more provisions for those that have proven that
they've been trying and couldn't get a job, but until these
people prove that they've been trying to help themselves,
I don't see why tax dollars should be spent on supporting
them in any way at all.
Singapore did well because she was able to offer cheap skilled
labour, but that edge is quickly eroding in the face of
China and India, so in a sense I think that the way forward
is to develop our knowledge industries more intensively.
This will keep us 1 step ahead of the juggernauts, and keep
us competitive.
Wages should gradually rise as these new industries develop,
but Singapore is not really there yet.
Beach-yi
Err..other than China and India, you guys are forgetting
the existence of entities like Taiwan and Hong Kong?
Oh wait, they are technically not countries. And both technically
belongs to China.
Oooo...Chrischoo, I don't mean to insult you but have you
ever read about the freak results that ensue when government
tries to ensure unemployed people had really look for jobs
before they qualify for social welfare payments? Can try
reading the Australian case study for instance.
I always have a problem with people wagging fingers. And
assuming lots of things. Economists tends to use alot of
assumption in their modelling. And we all know there is
no such thing as a perfect competition.
the
truth is rarely pure and never simple
'I don't agree that the government should be willing to
"take up debt" or provide a large safety net for
the unemployed, simply because this will discourage people
from taking low paying jobs and will incur a cost to society.'
Why is 'take up debt' isolated in quotation marks? Debt
is a very natural thing for governments to have -- of course
too large a PSBR will create inflation, but that doesn't
mean that the govt should almost never run a deficit (which
seems to be the case in S'pore).
And if a reasonable minimum wage is instituted (and it can
be without rise in unemployment cf. the Labour govt's recent
raising of the min. wage in the UK)the government can simply
ensure that the dole pays less than the minimum wage.
'I think there should be more provisions for those that
have proven that they've been trying and couldn't get a
job, but until these people prove that they've been trying
to help themselves, I don't see why tax dollars should be
spent on supporting them in any way at all.'
We *could* have welfare-to-work, but these haven't proved
very successful in the US in terms of either reducing unemployment
or in helping ppl out of poverty.
Your main issue seems to be with a supposed group of people
who will become 'welfare queens' (such a good Reaganism).
Well, I think that possibility is one I am willing to live
with to ensure that ppl who do need help will be able to
get it.
All policies are capable of being abused in some way. Take
the fact that state schools in Singapore are heavily subsidised.
Some ppl do not use this subsidy properly and spend their
schooldays sleeping in class or fondling their friends under
the table or whatever. Should the possibility of this abuse
constitute an over-riding reason to end such subsidies?
Also, you seem to think unemployment is also the result
of some personal failing such as laziness or incompetence
or whatever. But it may not always be the case. If a 50-yr
old can't find work, or if the only work he can find is
serving burgers at McDonald's or cleaning MRT toilets, I'd
have to say he wouldn't be morally depraved to prefer living
on dole to the other shittier (literally) alternatives.
http://noconceptofliberty.blogspot.com/2005/10/new-economic-policy.html