Thailand
Kra Canal will it happen ... ever?
Every few years, the idea of building a canal in southern Thailand
is taken out of mothball, dusted and debated before being put
away again. It is happening once more.
Mar 12, 2001
When the story
first hit me in 1972, I was so excited that I spent almost a week
researching on the project before writing on it.
That was 29
years ago when I was a correspondent in Bangkok writing for a
regional newspaper.
The idea of
cutting a canal across the narrowest part of the Kra of Isthmus
that would reduce east-west shipping from 2,000 km to 100 km caught
my imagination.
But among
the Thai bureaucrats I approached for details, the mood was much
less enthusiastic.
When I mentioned
about the cabinet approval, I was met with the cynical smile of
non-belief. I was the only excited guy.
The US$25
billion canal. which would take seven to 10 years to build, would
save two or three shipping days in the journey by avoiding the
Straits of Malacca.
That would
deal a blow to Singapores strategic maritime role and threaten
its prosperity.
When the "three
tyrants", including Generals Prapas Charusathiera and Thanom
Kittikachorn, whammed it through cabinet with promise of Japanese
participation, I discovered that: -
1 The proposal
was over 300 years old. It first appeared in 1677 when King Narai
of Ayudhya suggested digging the canal with shovels. Due to concerns
over security, the idea had been popping up and down since.
2. A report
once explained why the Kra isthmus, calculated to run up to 12
kms, was so important: "With its location at the centre of
the worlds air and marine transportation routes, only this
waterway could beat Singapore as a famous destination and shortcut
through the Straits of Malacca."
In 1972, American
engineering consultants were tasked to carry out a feasibility
study.
It proposed
not only a king-sized canal capable of handling tankers of up
to 500,000 dwt but also the construction of sea ports and industrial
development and export processing zones at both ends.
The thing
ended when students revolted against the military dictators in
1973. But the idea encountered two main security concerns.
Firstly, it
would threaten security in southern Thailand, which is faced with
two insurgencies, the Thai Communist Party and the Muslim separatists.
The canal could be blown up by either group.
Secondly,
a canal would cut Thailand into two. The southern portion, it
was feared, which was Muslim and dominated by the Patani Liberation
Movement would be lost.
When the Canal
idea appeared doom, someone suggested: "Why not build an
oil pipeline instead of a canal?"
Tankers from
Middle East to Japan and other Asian countries could simply unload
their oil from the Western side for other tankers to pick up from
the other end. No need to sail around Singapore.
It was a crazy
idea, critics said. Could you imagine the environmental disaster
to Thailand if somebody bomb the pipeline? The waters on the east
were too rough for loading oil.
Beside, it
needed a lot of money and no one could be sure if it was profitable.
The expected increase of trade in oil between northeast Asia (Japan,
Korea) and the Middle East did not materialise.
Recently the
Kra canal was suggested again. But criticism remained, not just
from Singapore which feels its strategic position being undermined,
but within the Thai government.
Thailands
commerce minister and next World Trade Organisation (WTO) head
Supachai Panitchpakdee said: "The Kra Canal would need a
lot of money and could create debts. We should avoid projects
which cause large debts."
Thailand is
already saddled with over US $80 billion in foreign debt alone.
Post-1997
the proposal looks less appealing today than at anytime in the
past. But it is unlikely to dampen the enthusiastic calls that
arise once awhile for the Kra Canal.
Seah Chiang
Nee